| Neil Douglas | |
| Nationality: British & New Zealand Year of Birth: 1959
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| Education:
PhD Economics, Leeds University 1985; BA Jnt. Hons. Economics & Geography
Newcastle University 1980. |
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| Professional Qualifications:
Fellow, Royal Statistical Society; Member of the International Economists
Consulting Association; Fellow Chartered Institute of Transport and Logistics,
NZ. |
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| Summary:
Neil Douglas has twenty years academic, consultancy and management experience
in transport economics and planning. Neil has undertaken over one hundred
consultancy projects and has considerable expertise in Cost Benefit Analysis;
economic impact assessment; demand and cost forecasting; externality and
resource economics; private sector financing of transport infrastructure,
economic theory of markets & regulatory policy and survey methods and
analysis. Neil has worked in twelve countries: Australia, Eire, Indonesia,
Malaysia, Malawi, New Zealand, Singapore, Taiwan, Thailand, U.K., U.S.A.
and Vietnam and has undertaken studies for Portugal, South Korea, Mozambique,
Tanzania, Zimbabwe whilst based in the U.K. or other countries. |
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| Education and Professional Experience: 1992 Managing Director DOUGLAS Economics (formerly PCIE) 2002 Owner & Manager: Totaras Nut Farm 1993-98 Owner & Manager: Parade Cafe 1990-92 Contract Economist: New Zealand 1990-90 Contract Economist: Jakarta Indonesia 1984-90 Research Economist: Transmark, British Rail 1983-84 Research Officer: Leeds University 1980-83 Doctoral Research: Leeds University |
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| Neil obtained a Joint Honours degree in Economics and Geography at Newcastle University in 1980 and undertook doctoral research at Leeds University from 1980 to 1984 into the welfare effects of express coach deregulation. A PhD was awarded in 1985 with the thesis published in book form by Gower Press in 1987. In 1983, Neil was a Research Officer at Leeds University to assess the service performance of UK metropolitan councils. 1984, Neil joined Transmark (a rail consultancy owned by British Rail) as a research economist and worked on a variety of projects in the UK and overseas. In January 1990, Neil left Transmark to work as an Economics Lecturer at the Road Transport and Traffic College Jakarta, Indonesia. Neil developed and delivered course material and also prepared and delivered short courses in road appraisal techniques at regional centres in Indonesia. In August 1990 Neil was employed on contract by Steer Davies Gleave NZ. In 1992, Neil formed DOUGLAS Economics - a limited liability company registered in New Zealand and Australia to provide financial, economic and market research advice as sole consultant, joint consultant or specialist sub consultant. DOUGLAS Economics has undertaken over 70 projects in NZ, Australia, Taiwan and Vietnam. | |
| Between 1993 and 1998, Neil owned and managed Parade Cafe, a large 150 seat cafe located on New Zealand’s premier waterfront street. Neil designed and organised the building of the cafe. On opening, Neil Douglas took on overall management responsibility. By 1997, 45 staff were employed and a turnover of $NZ 2 million achieved. In June 1997, Parade Cafe was awarded “Best Cafe in New Zealand” and in April 1998 the café was voted “Most Popular Cafe in Wellington”. In May 1998, Neil sold interests in the café. In 2002, Neil bought 20 acres in the Wairarapa to develop a nut farm. By 2005. 600 chestnut, walnut, hazelnut, pecan, almond and fruit trees have been planted. Nut harvesting is expected to commence in 2007. | |
| Urban Transport Studies: | |
| Bus Contract Cost Indexation (2008) Submission to the Ministry of Government on behalf of the Bus and Coach Association regarding the proposed Government Policy Statement on medium term funding and program development for bus transport. | |
| Bus Contract Cost Indexation (2008) Review of proposed changes to the cost indexation of bus contracts for the Bus and Coach Association. | |
| NW Metro Economic Evaluation (2008) Providing technical advice to the Ministry of Transport, NSW regarding alternative approaches to measure project benefits for a proposed Metro system serving North West Sydney. | |
| IPART Review (2007) For RailCorp NSW - assisting RailCorp to peer review studies by Charles River Associates and Booz Allen Hamilton for the Independent Pricing and Regulatory Tribunal (IPART) of NSW as part of a review of rail service pricing. | |
| Transport Management Bill (2007) - Assisting Mana Coaches prepare a submission to Parliament regarding changes to the Transport Management Bill. | |
| Wellington Journey to Work Share (2007) For Toll NZ - estimation of rail, bus and car shares for journey to work to Welllington CBD using Census data. | |
| Valuing Rail Service Quality– Sydney (2004-05) For RailCorp NSW, developing and analysing passenger values of reliability, crowding, train and station facilities by market research surveys. | |
| North West Rail Link Economic Appraisal (2005): - For DIPNR NSW. Economic evaluation of $Aus 2 billion rail link to serve the north west sector of Sydney involving a cost - benefit comparison of Heavy Rail, Transitway, Light Rail alignment options. | |
| Wellington Rail Survey (2004-5) For Tranz Rail – design, management and analysis of a large scale on-off count of all weekday & weekend services (790) and questionnaire survey (response > 20,000). | |
| Sydney CBD LRT Extension Economic Evaluation Peer Review (2004) For DIPNR – providing a peer review of the economic evaluation of LRT options (produced by Booz Allen and Hamilton) for a proposed CBD extension of the LRT. | |
| Sydney ‘Through City Rail Link’ Model (2004-05): Development of a model to forecast patronage impacts of alternative alignments for a new heavy rail link through Sydney CBD. | |
| Sydney ‘Through City Rail Link’ (2003): Assessment of Sydney CBD rail patronage profile as part of the assessment of a major new heavy rail link through Sydney CBD. | |
| Sydney CBD LRT Extension (2003) For DIPNR – design and analysis of Stated Preference surveys for Booz Allen and Hamilton and assistance in the development of a demand model to forecasts patronage and revenue for the CBD extension of the LRT. | |
| Value of Time – Sydney (2003-04) For RailCorp NSW, extensive Stated Preference surveys (1,400) of rail passengers to determine the value of travel time, value of service interval and interchange. | |
| Value of Crowding – Sydney (2004) For SRA, Stated Preference surveys (335) of rail passengers to determine the value of station walking and waiting time under different levels of crowding. | |
| SW PT Patronage Forecasts (2003) For DIPNR NSW, assistance to KBR-Halliburton on patronage forecasts for transport options for new release areas (300,000 population) in South West` Sydney. | |
| NWRL Peer Review (2003-05) For DIPNR NSW, peer review of patronage forecasts and Stated Preference market research undertaken by Parsons Brinkerhoff and ITS Sydney University. | |
| Canberra Elasticities and Primary Services Valuations (2002): For Brisbane City Council. Employed as technical adviser to Booz Allen and Hamilton to provide specialist advice on Stated Preference market research to parameter values for primary urban transport service attributes and estimate fares elasticities for rail, bus and ferry travel. | |
| Sydney ‘Through City Rail Link’ (2002): Provision of technical advice to SRA on market research and patronage forecasting for a major new rail link through Sydney CBD. | |
| Brisbane Scenario Model (2002): For Brisbane City Council. Development of a scenario model to estimate fare and service level elasticities for bus, rail and ferry. | |
| Brisbane Integrated Fares (2000-02): For Brisbane City Council. Employed as technical adviser to Booz Allen and Hamilton to provide specialist advice on Stated Preference market research to parameter values for primary urban transport service attributes and estimate fares elasticities for rail, bus and ferry travel. | |
| Bondi Beach Rail Link (2001): For SRA. Review of BBRC revenue forecasts for extending the Eastern Suburbs rail line to Bondi Beach. Review included an assessment of revenue risk. | |
| Parramatta - Chatswood Economic and Financial Evaluation (1999-2001): - For NSW Department of Transport. Economic evaluation of $Aus 2 billion rail link between Parramatta and Chatswood for inclusion in Environmental Impact Statement by ERM Kinhill. Commissioned by PRLC in October 2000 to update the evaluation with revised patronage and costs. Employed in July 2001 to update the economic evaluation and provide an assessment of UTS station. | |
| Parramatta - Chatswood Patronage Review and Ramp Up Assessment (2000): - For PRLC. Employed to review patronage forecasts for the Parramatta Rail Link and assess patronage ramp up. | |
| Sydney Ferries (2000): for STA. Employed as technical adviser
to Booz Allen and Hamilton in a study to provide a business plan for Sydney
Ferries. Developed and analysed passenger surveys and advised on the demand
forecasting methodology. Bondi Beach Rail Link (2000): For RAC. The review and audit of patronage forecasts for extending the Eastern Suburbs rail line to Bondi Beach. |
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| Wellington Rail Evaluation (1999): - For TransRail - an economic evaluation of the net benefit of commuter rail services in the Wellington Region. | |
| Ganz Mavag Refurbishment (1999): Economic Evaluation of refurbishing 32
Ganz Mavag railcars. |
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| Capital & Wairarapa Connection Survey (1999): Passenger counts and questionnaire survey (1000 questionnaires) for Trans Rail New Zealand. | |
| Wellington Rail Trip Rate (1999): Estimation of rail trip rates for Wellington rail services. | |
| Wellington Passenger Count and Passenger Profile (1998): Passenger counts and questionnaire survey of weekday Wellington rail services (344 services) for Trans Rail New Zealand. The survey employed 40 part time staff, covered all 344 services and involved 6,000 questionnaires. | |
| Hoxton Park Busway Patronage Forecasts (1998): - For NSW DoT. Technical advice to PPK in designing and analysing Stated Preference market research to determine mode share parameters for patronage forecasts for a busway linking Liverpool and Parramatta. | |
| Parramatta - Chatswood Economic and Financial Evaluation (1997): - For Rail Access. Economic and financial evaluation of options for public transport between Parramatta & Chatswood. | |
| Auckland Passenger Count (1998): Passenger count of Weekday and Saturday rail services for Trans Rail New Zealand. | |
| Auckland Quality of Rail Surveys (1994): Five surveys (Oct 93, March 94, October 94, April 95, June 96) of one to three thousand questionnaires each of Auckland rail users covering profile, satisfaction and attitudes towards rail travel for Trans Rail New Zealand. | |
| Sydenham Sydney (1994): Economic and financial evaluation for CityRail of a $Aus 65 million project to increase rail track capacity from four to six tracks. | |
| Pyrmont - Ultimo LRT Extension Economic Evaluation (1994): For NSW Department of Transport - worked in association with DJA Maunsell to provide an economic evaluation of extending the proposed LRT route. | |
| Effects of Bus Competition on SLR Patronage (1998): For SLRC – subcontracted to Parade Consulting Pty - An assessment of the potential loss in revenue to the SLR from bus services running between Sydney CBD and the Pyrmont Peninsula via the Casino. | |
| Sydney LRT CBD Demand Forecasts (1995): For NSW Department of Transport - worked in association with Booz Allen & Hamilton to provide demand forecasts for an LRT service through Sydney CBD from Central to Circular Quay. | |
| East Hills Amplification Economic and Financial Appraisal (1995): For RailNet - economic appraisal of increasing the line and junction from two to four tracks for the East Hills line. | |
| Rolling Stock Refurbishment (1995-96): For TransRail - an economic and financial appraisal of refurbishing the appearance of the Ganz Mavag units on the Hutt and Kapiti Coast rail lines. | |
| Sydney M2 Busway Patronage Forecasts (1996): - For NSW DoT. Technical advice to Rust PPK in designing and analysing Stated Preference market research to determine mode share parameters for patronage forecasts of the M2 Busway. | |
| Parramatta - Chatswood Rail Link Patronage Forecasts (1996): - For Rail Access Authority, NSW. Technical advice to RPPK in designing and analysing Stated Preference market research to determine parameters for forecasting demand for a new rail link between Parramatta and Chatswood. | |
| Passenger Kilometre Study (1993): Interview survey for New Zealand Rail of all passengers leaving Wellington Railway station to determine the average distance travelled. | |
| Perth Transportation Options (1993): Economic advice to Western Australia DoT on cost benefit issues regarding transport options for the SW corridors of Perth. | |
| Auckland Passenger Survey (1993): Questionnaire survey (5,000) of the Auckland Rail System covering profile and attitude data for New Zealand Rail. | |
| Auckland Car User Survey (1994): For CityRail Auckland, Interview survey
to establish car user attitudes to rail transport. Auckland Rail Trip Rate Analysis (1994): Determination of trip rates for two Auckland corridors to aid future service planning by CityRail Auckland. |
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| Brisbane (1993): Evaluation, using Stated Preference, of improved interchange facilities between public transport services. For Queensland Dept of Transport and Queensland Univ of Technology. | |
| Auckland LRT & Busway (1991): Market research for Auckland Regional Council into the demand for LRT and Busway systems with particular emphasis on qualitative factors. | |
| Wellington Critical Corridor Study (1990): Demand forecasts for New Zealand Rail based on market research of bus competition on three radial commuter railway lines. | |
| Economic Appraisal of a Branch Railway Line (1992): Assessment of the impact of closing the Melling branch railway line for the Hutt City Council (New Zealand). | |
| Effects of Qualitative Factors on Public Transport (1991): Demand parameters to assess transport quality for the Wellington Regional Council. Results were presented at the New Zealand Statistical Society August 1991 "Reliable Valuations from Stated Preferences" and in "Transport Wellingtonians Want" The Dominion Newspaper July 1992. | |
| Canberra LRT (1992): Provision of 'rule of thumb' estimates to Denis Johnson and Associates that assessed the demand effect of L.R.T. | |
| Sydney Elasticity Study (1992): Estimation of primary service elasticities for CityRail NSW. | |
| CityRail NSW Quality of Service Factors (1994-95): Estimation of monetary valuations for train and station design, reliability, information, seat availability through a major Stated Preference survey (3000 interviews). | |
| Integrated Pricing Study (1993): An assessment for the RTA (NSW) of pricing and costing methodologies used by the Road Traffic, State Rail and State Transit Authorities of NSW. | |
| Johnsonville Rail Line Analysis (1993): An strategic assessment for New Zealand Rail of development options for a 10.5km urban railway line. Results summarised in the Wellington Evening Post "Looking Back for a Vision of the Future" 17th Aug 1993 by R. MacLean. | |
| Bradford (1987):Evaluation of electrification options for rail services in the Bradford metropolitan area for Bradford City Council. | |
| Chicago Fares (1987): Evaluation of alternative fares structures for the Chicago Transit Authority. Findings presented at TRB USA 1988. | |
| Phoenix Rapid Transport (1987): Assessment of passenger preferences for different transport technologies. Main findings were presented at PTRC Bath UK 1988. | |
| Fleet St. Land Use (1987): Forecasting land use change and office employment in the Fleet ST area of London for London Underground. | |
| Manchester LRT (1989): Forecasting LRT ridership for the eventually successful consortium bidding for the contract. | |
Station Studies: |
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| Wellington Rail Station (2005) For Tranz Metro Wellington. The design, management and analysis of a ‘before & after’ passenger survey involving rating and priorities for improvement of stations. | |
| Wellington Rail Station Upgrade (2002): For TranzRail - management and analysis of in-depth market research (3,000 questionnaires) to determine passenger priorities for upgrading rail stations within the Wellington Region. | |
| British Rail Station Design Studies: Leeds (1989) Sunderland (1988); Kings Cross Midland (1987); Manchester Piccadilly (1986); Kings Cross International (1989): Development of a computer simulation model with London Transport to evaluate alternative station layouts. | |
| London Underground Station Design Studies: Station Appearance Improvement (1986-89); Angel Islington (1987) Both studies derived passenger valuations for station access, amenity and appearance. | |
| British Rail Station Location Studies: Development and application of a method for assessing access to the rail network: Bristol Parkway (1985); West Coast Main Line (1985); Network SouthEast Car Access Study (1986); West Yorkshire Parkway (1988); North Bedfordshire Parkway (1989); Kings Cross Extension (1988). | |
| Newcastle New South Wales (1994): Economic and Financial Evaluation of a new station at Warrabrook to serve Newcastle University and residential areas for CityRail Planning. | |
| Metford Station NSW (1994): Economic and Financial Evaluation of a new station at Metford on the Maitland line for SRA (NSW). | |
| Wolli Creek (1994): Economic and financial evaluation for CityRail of a $Aus 17.5m station at the junction of the New Southern Railway and the Illawarra and East Hills lines. | |
| Redfern Station Upgrade (1997): Economic and financial evaluation for CityRail Finance and Development of investment options for upgrading Redfern station. | |
| Parramatta Station Upgrade (1994): Economic and financial evaluation for Cityrail Panning of an additional subway and upgraded concourse area. | |
| Blacktown Station Upgrade (1994): Economic and financial evaluation for CityRail Panning of a new station to handle the forecast increase in passenger throughput. | |
| Strathfield Station Upgrade (1994): Economic and financial evaluation for SRA of alternative options for upgrading Strathfield station. | |
| Penrith Station Upgrade (1998): Economic and financial evaluation for SRA of alternative options for upgrading Penrith station with emphasis on passenger capacity for the Olympics. | |
| Ashfield Station Upgrade (1998): Economic and financial evaluation for SRA of alternative options for upgrading Ashfield station. | |
| Bankstown Station Upgrade (1998): Economic and financial evaluation for SRA of alternative options for upgrading Bankstown station. | |
| University of Western Sydney (1995): Economic and financial evaluation for RailNet of a new station to serve the University of Western Sydney compared to enhanced shuttle bus services. | |
| Wellington Station Refurbishment (1995-96): For TransRail - an economic and financial appraisal of refurbishing the platform canopy and internal decor of Wellington station. | |
Freight Studies: |
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| Queensland Coal Route & Technology Evaluation (2008): Assisting Worley Parsons develop an evaluation model to assess alternative rail routes and operating systems to export coal. | |
| Southern Africa Coal Tariff Estimation (2008): Assisting Worley Parsons estimate the cost of transporting coal by rail from an inland mine to port to assist in tariff determination for a coal mine. | |
| International Rail Coal Tariff Benchmarking (2007): Review of coal tariffs charged by rail for transporting coal in USA, Australia, NZ, southern Africa and India to assist Worley Parsons advise a coal mine in negotiations with a rail operator. | |
| Freight Infrastructure Charge (2006): For NSW Department of Transport. Estimation of the price elasticity governing road and rail container market share and application to determine the required freight infrastructure charge to achieve a target rail share of Sydney import and export containers. | |
| Liverpool Ranges (2006): For ARTC as subconsultant to TMG International. Demand analysis of freight (particularly coal) and passenger traffic and the financial appraisal of options to increase capacity and performance of rail transport to the Port of Newcastle over the Liverpool Ranges. | |
| Tasmania Rail Cost Model (2005): For DIER Tasmania / Pacific National: working with TMG International to develop a specification for a maintenance cost model of Tasmanian rail. | |
| Tasmania Freight - Rail & Road Maintenance Cost Comparison (2004): For DIER Tasmania – Working with TMG International to develop a model to evaluate the maintenance costs of alternative road – rail shares for freight for the Bell Bay – Lanceston corridor. | |
| Northland Freight Strategy (2000/02): For Tranzrail - Assessment of rail and road operations for Northland freight. The study included forecasting forestry and dairy products, assessing rail and road competitiveness with a new port at Marsden Point and subsidy eligibility under section 3D rules. | |
| Cootamundra-Tumut Freight Study (2002): For Rail Access Corporation – Economic assessment of options to re-open the Cootamundra – Tumut freight line including an intermodal terminal. | |
| Australia National Rail Freight Investment Strategy (1994): For the Bureau of Transport Economics & Communications Canberra - Provision of technical investment appraisal advice to develop a national investment strategy for rail infrastructure in Australia. | |
| Indonesian Rail Rehabilitation (1985) & Indonesian Coal Tariff (1987): Both studies looked at the delivery of coal from sea port (Cigading) to cement works (Cibinong). The 1985 study evaluated investment options; the 1987 assessed rate structures for transporting coal. | |
| European Freight Strategy Study (1985): statistical analysis of UK – Europe rail freight flow data. | |
| New Zealand Inland Freight Distribution (1990): Advice to NZ Railways & Port of Wellington on the relative attractiveness of different New Zealand ports for the distribution of international freight. | |
| Distribution of Notes and Coins (1992): Development of a model for the NZ Banker's Association to evaluate inventory and transportation costs of different distribution systems. | |
| Portugal Small Freight Study (1988): Stated Preference market research for Portugal Railways to determine the key factors influencing freight carrier choice for parcel mail. | |
Strategic Studies: |
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| Modernising Vietnam Railways Telecommunications (1996): For Vietnam Railways. Acted as a sub consultant to Consultel. | |
| Project paid by Ministry of New Zealand Foreign Affairs and Trade The study evaluated the costs and benefits of modernising the telecommunication transmission line and receiver equipment. The study required visiting Vietnam to determine the priorities for improvement and establish the nature of any impacts. | |
| Lake Malawi (1989): An assessment of the developmental potential of the lake for freight and passenger transport between and within the countries of Malawi, Tanzania and Mozambique. | |
| Northern Ireland Railways Corporate Plan (1986): All aspects of NIR's business were critically reviewed; alternative strategies were developed then assessed against defined management objectives. | |
| Thailand State Railways (1988-89): Assistance to the marketing section of Thailand State Railways in demand forecasting and costing to develop a strategic plan for freight. | |
| Malaysia Railways (1985): A strategic assessment of the economic and financial benefits of an inland container distribution system (road/rail) for the state railway (KTM). | |
Energy and Environmental Studies: |
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| Assessment of Alternative Wellhead Taxation Regimes (1993): A macro and micro economic assessment of alternative taxation systems for New Zealand oil exploration and production for the Petroleum Exploration Association of New Zealand. Results were reported in the National Business Review 19/3/92. | |
| Economic and Environmental Impact of Fuel Demand (1992): Assessment of the impact of fuel demand in New Zealand on the balance of payments and economic growth and an assessment of environmental policies. | |
| Economics of Transport Externalities (1992): Assessment of the costs of air pollution and the relative merits of regulation and charging mechanisms for Transit New Zealand. | |
| Energy Use, Sustainability and Transport (1992): An assessment of alternative ways of achieving sustainability in the fuel usage by the transport sector. | |
| Monetary Valuation of Carbon Dioxide Emissions (1993): A worldwide review of literature and assessment techniques to provide a monetary valuation of carbon dioxide emissions for inclusion in the Transit New Zealand Project Evaluation Manual. | |
Air Travel Studies: |
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| Melbourne Airport Access Study (2001): Provided technical advice to Booz Allen & Hamilton in design and analysis of a patronage survey to assess improved bus or rail access to Melbourne airport. | |
| US Airline Deregulation (1985): The evaluation of the net benefits of airline deregulation using patronage, revenue, cost and service data. Research findings were presented at the 1986 CICC conference in a paper "The Lessons of US Air Deregulation". | |
| Florida Air Visitor Survey (1985): Provision of statistical recommendations (sample size, sampling technique etc.) to the Florida Dept. of Commerce for undertaking air surveys. | |
| Sydney Airport Link Economic Evaluation (1992): Economic evaluation of an $Aus 550 million link from Sydney Central Station to Kingsford Smith International Airport for the New South Wales Department of Transport. | |
| Sydney Airport Link Review (1992): Review for the NSW Department of Transport of existing patronage forecasts. | |
| Sydney Airport Link and Sydney - Canberra Review (1997): Review for Bouyges of patronage and revenue forecasts. | |
| Sydney Airport Link Patronage Forecasts (1993): Detailed Patronage and Revenue Forecasts for an $Aus 500-800m airport link from Central Sydney to Kingsford Smith International Airport for a consortium of private companies and public institutions. | |
| Sydney Domestic Terminal (1994): Study undertaken jointly with CityRail Planning to estimate the patronage and revenue impacts of alternative rail terminal locations at Sydney Domestic Airport. | |
| Incheon Airport (2001): advice to Booz Allen and Hamilton on questionnaire design for a study of improved access to Incheon airport. | |
Inter City Passenger Demand Forecasting Studies: |
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| East Coast Very Fast Train (2001):- For the Commonwealth Department of Transport and Regional Services. Subcontracted to TMG International. Development of demand forecasts for high speed train services between Brisbane and Melbourne for coastal and inland route options and different high speed rail technologies and taking into account alternative socio-demographic forecasts and air service level scenarios. Sub contracted to provide an evaluation of High Speed Rail covering financial, economic and strategic issues. | |
| Sydney - Newcastle Financial and Economic Evaluation of Rail Upgrade Options (2000): - For RAC, NSW DoT, SRA. The study evaluated train and track infrastructure improvements costing up to Aus $1 billion. Benefits to CityRail, Countrylink and freight were evaluated and included a review of the private sector participation. | |
| Sungold Stated Preference Surveys (2000): for Queensland Rail. Employed as a sub consultant by Ove Arup to provide specialist advice on survey design and analysis for a Stated Preference survey to estimate parameters for inclusion in a travel demand model (EMME2) to forecast ridership for upgraded rail services on three major radial corridors out of Brisbane. | |
| Sydney-Newcastle Rail Patronage Forecasts (1999): For the NSW SRA, RAC and DoT. The provision of patronage forecasts for faster train services on the Sydney - Newcastle corridor. | |
| Sydney-Canberra Patronage Advice (1998): Provision of technical advice to Capital Rail Consortium on patronage and revenue for their bid to build and operate a high speed rail service between Sydney and Canberra. | |
| Sydney-Canberra Patronage Audit (1996): Audit of patronage forecasts for Very High Speed and High Speed Trains for the ACT, NSW and Commonwealth Governments. | |
| Sydney-Canberra Tilt Train (1994): Technical Director for DJA Maunsell on a job for the NSW DoT to develop and analyse Stated Preference Market Research to determine likely diversion of air, bus, coach and rail trips to a tilt train service. | |
| Taiwan (1992): Passenger forecasts for a High Speed Rail Network for the Provisional Office of High Speed Rail, Taiwan. | |
| Illinios (1986): Passenger forecasts for rehabilitating rail corridors radiating from Chicago for the Illinios Dept. of Transport. | |
| Ohio (1984-5): Development of an inter-city demand model covering all main modes for the Ohio Department of Transport. | |
| Ireland (1988): Forecasts of rail demand for cross-border rail travel for competitive service levels. | |
Tourism Studies: |
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| Tourism Benefits from Road Improvements (1992): A member of a review panel formed by the New Zealand Tourism Department to appraise a study to quantify the tourism benefits of road improvements. | |
| Wellington Heritage Tram (1993): Assessing the economics of a tram service for central Wellington aimed at the tourist and leisure markets for the Wellington Capital Development Agency, Stagecoach and Lambton Harbour Development. Involved tourism market research and surveys. | |
| Jackson Street Heritage Tram (1993): Assessing the economics of a heritage tram service for Jackson Street Petone aimed at attracting tourists and leisure shoppers for the Jackson St. Program. Involved tourism and shopping market research. | |
| Milford Sound - Haast Toll Road Survey (1993): Provision of specialist advice to Travers Morgan on Questionnaire Design to gauge tourist response to a toll road linking Milford Sound and Haast. | |
| Tourism Impact of Interislander Terminal (1994): An Economic Impact Assessment of alternative locations for the Wellington Interislander ferry terminal. The study was undertaken for Wellington Capital Development Agency, Wellington Port Authority, Lambton Harbour and NZ Rail. Over 600 passengers travelling between the North and South Island were interviewed to gauge the amount of time and expenditure that they would spend in Wellington at three different terminal locations. Tourism Economic Multipliers were then applied to estimate the total economic impact. | |
Other Studies: |
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| Performance and Cost Comparison of Digital Train Radio Systems (2005) For RailCorp – provided economic advice to Halcrow to evaluate three digital train radio system technologies for possible replacement of the existing analogue train radio system for Sydney passenger rail services. | |
| Security of Rail Guards in Toast Martinborough (2003) For Tranzrail – development and analysis of a survey to assess “perceptions” and “actual” personal and customer safety on Toast Martinborough rail services. | |
| Passenger Lift Evaluation (2003) – Post tender evaluation of passenger lift tenders for SRA Capital Works. The study involved assessment of eight tenders short listed to three for 80 lifts. Demand and costs forecasts were produced for Machine Room Less Traction and Hydraulic lifts offered by two lift companies. Discounted capital costs, operating and maintenance costs and demand related benefits were evaluation over twenty years. | |
| Passenger Lift Evaluation (2002-03) – Pre tender evaluation of passenger lift types for SRA Capital Works. The study involved collection , analysis of capital cost, operating costs and passenger observation surveys to assess Hydraulic and Traction Machine Room Less lifts and prepare an evaluation model of comparative performance. | |
| Evaluation Techniques: - Victoria University (1995-98) Lecture to the MSc Development Studies Course at the University of Victoria Wellington. The lecture gave a general overview of economic appraisal techniques with special reference to their use in project appraisal in developing countries. | |
| Urban Consolidation Benefits (1992): An assessment for the NSW Government of the total infrastructure cost savings of redeveloping the Sydney Central Industrial Area rather than developing the urban periphery. Physical infrastructure: drainage, utilities, local roads, social infrastructure: schools, park land, hospitals, emergency services, and transport infrastructure savings were costed. | |
| Private Sector Funding of Roading (1992): Assessment of private sector
funding for a major bypass for SH1 (Transmission Gully) serving Wellington.
For Transit New Zealand. Paper presented with Hamish Nuttall at AIC Conference,
Auckland 1992 Track Standards (1987): Statistical analysis of Australian and Zimbabwe rail track quality data to help investment and maintenance decisions for The Overseas Development Agency. |
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| Seaview Ferry (1992): Financial appraisal of relocating and improving the Wellington Harbour ferry service. For the Hutt City Council. | |
| Visions of Wellington (1993): Survey for NZ Rail of public impressions of Wellington. | |
| Cost Effectiveness in Local Authority Transport Provision (1983-84): An assessment of the performance of UK metropolitan councils in providing cost effective service provision. Findings were presented in "Institute for Transport Studies Resource Paper, 1984". | |
| Doctoral Research Leeds University 1980-84: Entitled: "The Welfare Effects of Express Coach Deregulation in 1980". | |
| Summary findings were presented at the 1984 conference: "Beyond Deregulation" held at MIT, Boston, USA. | |
| Additional Articles and Published Reports: | |
| "Transport Deregulation: A Welfare Assessment", Gower Press, Aldershot, 1987, 300 pages. | |
| "Planning Transport - The Users View" with Nuttall H., published by Steer Davies Gleave, Wellington, N.Z. 1992, 30 pages. | |
| "Energy Use, Sustainability and Transport" with Lewthwaite N. and Nuttall H, published by Steer Davies Gleave, Wellington N.Z. 1992, 30 pages. | |
| "The Two Car Garage Mentality" in "The Dominion" 9/10/92. | |
| "Achieving Energy Sustainability in New Zealand Transport" in "The Transportant", February-March 1993 with Strang G. | |
| "City (Wellington) Must Rediscover Centre" in "The Dominion" 16/2/93 | |
| "Inner City Blues: Plan to Fill Empty Office Buildings” in "The Dominion" May 6th 1993 | |
| "Travel Demand, Economic Growth and Transport Infrastructure in Rapidly Growing Economies" Australian Transport Research Forum, October 1993. | |
| "Achieving and Evaluating the Benefits of Urban Consolidation through Rail Transport Improvements" Australian Transport Research Forum, October 1993 with Cockburn D. | |
| "Urban Consolidation and Rail Transport: Achieving and Evaluating the Benefits" with Cockburn D. Published by Pacific Consulting Economics and Planning, Wellington N.Z. July 1993, 17 pages. | |
| "Wellington Heritage Tramway: Feasibility Study" with Cockburn D, Miller K and Wood K, Published by PCIE Ltd. Wellington N.Z. August 1993, 60 pages. | |
| "Back on the Rails: The Reintroduction of Trams into Wellington" in "The Dominion" 8/9/1993. | |
| "Valuing Carbon Dioxide Emissions" in "Transearch" Published by Transit NZ, Jan 1994, No12. | |
| "The Case Against Transmission Gully" in "The Dominion" 12/1/1995. | |
| "Transmission Gully Route Comparison" in "City Voice" 15/6/2000. | |
| “Northland’s Transport Network Needs Rail Link”, The Northern Advocate, 23/11/02. | |
| “Private Public Partnership is the Wrong Road” The Dominion –Post, 7/12/02. | |
| “Estimation of Demand Parameters for Primary Public Transport Service Attributes in Brisbane”, by Douglas N.J., Franzmann L.J. and Frost T.W., paper presented at the 26th Australasian Transport Research Forum, Wellington NZ, October 1-3 2003. | |
| “Rule of Thumb Patronage Ramp Up Factors for New Rail Services” by Douglas N.J. in Tranport and Logistics Magazine, Spring 2003. | |
| “Estimating the Patronage Profile of Sydney CBD Rail Trips”, Doggett M., Douglas N.J. and McGregor G., paper presented at the 27th Australasian Transport Research Forum, Adelaide, October 2004. | |
| “Forecasting the Demand for High Speed Rail on the East Coast of Australia”, Douglas N.J. and Thornton P., paper presented at the 27th Australasian Transport Research Forum, Adelaide, October 2004. | |
| “Estimating the Passenger Cost of Station Crowding”, Douglas N.J. and Karpouzis G., paper presented at the 28th Australasian Transport Research Forum, Sydney, September 2005. (John H Taplin Award for best paper) | |
| “Estimating the Passenger Cost of Train Crowding", Douglas N.J. and Karpouzis G., paper presented at the 29th Australasian Transport Research Forum, Brisbane , September 2006. | |
| “Estimating the Value of Rail Service Attributes using rating Surveys”, Douglas N.J. and Karpouzis G., paper presented at the 29th Australasian Transport Research Forum, Brisbane, September 2006. | |